Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChile to win ✗48% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.24
New Zealand vs Chile: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chile travel to face New Zealand on Monday 30 March in the , with Eden Park the venue – the ball rolls at 07:15 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give New Zealand 1.5 xG, Chile 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 53% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – New Zealand 27%, draw 25%, Chile 48%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.33, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: New Zealand 1–1 Chile. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
New Zealand27%fair 3.66 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.25
Chile48%fair 2.08 · @1.80
3.27Expected goals
1.51New Zealand xG
1.76Chile xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: New Zealand 1.5 – 1.8 Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chile to win✗
48%
2.08
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Chile (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
New Zealand +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Chile to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.66
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chile / FT Chile✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
New Zealand – last 1
L
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chile – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Cape Verde Islands
4–2
W
4.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand and Chile.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win New Zealand vs Chile?
On our numbers New Zealand have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chile 48%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand vs Chile?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Chile?
Our predicted score is New Zealand 1–1 Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is New Zealand vs Chile?
New Zealand vs Chile () kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 07:15 (West Africa Time) at Eden Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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