Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAvai to win ✓36% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.36
Avai vs Caxias: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Avai welcome Caxias for a fixture on Thursday 16 April (01:30 WAT).
Current form
Avai, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Chapecoense-sc, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Caxias, last 4: WWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventude, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caxias, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.4 for Avai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Avai 1.1 xG, Caxias 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Avai 36%, draw 29%, Caxias 35%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Avai 1–1 Caxias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Avai36%fair 2.78 · @2.30
Draw29%fair 3.39 · @2.95
Caxias35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.22Expected goals
1.12Avai xG
1.10Caxias xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Avai 1.1 – 1.1 Caxias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Avai to win✓
36%
2.78
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Avai (draw no bet)✓
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Caxias +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Avai to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Avai / FT Avai✗
20%
4.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.36
–
Recent results
Avai – last 5
LDWLW
8 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Operario-PR
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ CRB
1–0
W
26 Mar
@ Tombense
2–3
L
4 Mar
vs Porto Vitória
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Caxias – last 4
WWLW
8 Apr
vs Juventude
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ America Mineiro
2–1
W
26 Feb
vs Guarany de Bagé
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ São Luiz
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Avai and Caxias.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Avai vs Caxias?
On our numbers Avai have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Caxias 35%.
How many goals will there be in Avai vs Caxias?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Avai vs Caxias?
Our predicted score is Avai 1–1 Caxias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Avai vs Caxias?
Avai vs Caxias () kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America Mineiro2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Volta Redonda3
Tombense2
Juventude0
Chapecoense-sc0