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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America Mineiro v Sampaio Corrêa RJ: numbers & prediction

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America Mineiro

DDLLD
2–1
FT

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

DDWLW
America Mineiro 49%Draw 27%Sampaio Corrêa RJ 23% Expected goals 1.37 – 1.14
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmerica Mineiro to win ✓49% · @1.50
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓77% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.53

America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 16 April the brings America Mineiro against Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT.

Current form

America Mineiro, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Tombense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Volta Redonda, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Sampaio Corrêa RJ, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for America Mineiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America Mineiro 1.4 xG, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America Mineiro 49%, draw 27%, Sampaio Corrêa RJ 23%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: America Mineiro 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America Mineiro49%fair 2.02 · @1.50
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.60
Sampaio Corrêa RJ23%fair 4.33 · @5.50
2.50Expected goals
1.37America Mineiro xG
1.14Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: America Mineiro 1.4 – 1.1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica Mineiro to win ✓49%2.021.50
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓77%1.301.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.95 ▲
Draw no betAmerica Mineiro (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapSampaio Corrêa RJ +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAmerica Mineiro to score first ✓50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT America Mineiro / FT America Mineiro ✓24%4.09–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.53–

Recent results

America Mineiro – last 6

DDLLDD
9 Apr@ Tombense3–3D
6 Apr@ Athletic Club1–1D
1 Aprvs Botafogo SP1–2L
29 Marvs Caxias1–2L
26 Mar@ Novorizontino1–1D
22 Feb@ Atletico-MG1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6

DDWLWD
8 Aprvs Volta Redonda1–1D
30 Mar@ São Bernardo2–2D
25 Marvs Juventude2–0W
3 Mar@ Portuguesa RJ0–2L
26 Febvs CFRJ Maricá2–1W
24 Febvs Nova Iguaçu1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Sampaio Corrêa RJ.

America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT Volta Redonda3 Tombense2 149%1.70X26%3.25225%4.40 1.6–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✓
FT Juventude0 Chapecoense-sc0 152%2.25X25%3.10223%3.10 1.6–0.8xG 1XJuventude or draw 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Avai1 Caxias0 136%2.30X29%2.95235%3.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

On our numbers America Mineiro have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ 23%.

How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

Our predicted score is America Mineiro 1–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?

America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ () kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.