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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juventude v Chapecoense-sc: numbers & prediction

· · Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Juventude

LDLLW
0–0
FT

Chapecoense-sc

WDLWD
Juventude 52%Draw 25%Chapecoense-sc 23% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.80
77%
Betarazi pick

Juventude or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Juventude to win @ 2.25 – our chance 52% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJuventude to win ✗52% · @2.25
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chapecoense-sc travel to face Juventude on Thursday 16 April in the , with Estadio Alfredo Jaconi the venue – the ball rolls at 01:15 WAT.

Current form

Juventude, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Caxias, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chapecoense-sc, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avai, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventude 1.6 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juventude 52%, draw 25%, Chapecoense-sc 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: Juventude or draw (77%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Juventude to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juventude or draw (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventude 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventude52%fair 1.92 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Chapecoense-sc23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
2.40Expected goals
1.60Juventude xG
0.80Chapecoense-sc xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Juventude 1.6 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuventude to win ✗52%1.922.25 ▲
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.85
Draw no betJuventude (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapChapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.481.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreJuventude to score first ✗61%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juventude / FT Juventude ✗34%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Juventude – last 6

LDLLWW
8 Apr@ Caxias0–1L
31 Marvs Novorizontino0–0D
29 Marvs Novorizontino0–2L
25 Mar@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ0–2L
19 Marvs Águia de Marabá3–0W
6 Marvs Guaporé5–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chapecoense-sc – last 6

WDLWDD
8 Aprvs Avai2–1W
5 Aprvs Vitoria1–1D
2 Aprvs Atletico-MG0–4L
26 Marvs São Bernardo2–1W
20 Marvs Corinthians0–0D
17 Marvs Gremio1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Chapecoense-sc.

Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc head-to-head page →

More predictions

FT America Mineiro2 Sampaio Corrêa RJ1 149%1.50X27%3.60223%5.50 1.4–1.1xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✓
FT Volta Redonda3 Tombense2 149%1.70X26%3.25225%4.40 1.6–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.95 ✓
FT Avai1 Caxias0 136%2.30X29%2.95235%3.10 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our pick is Juventude or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?

On our numbers Juventude have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chapecoense-sc 23%.

How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?

Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?

Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc () kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.