Chad 22%Draw 54%Burundi 24%Expected goals 1.06 – 1.11
78%
Betarazi pick
Burundi or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.92 – our chance 54% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +59%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗54% · @2.92
Double chanceBurundi or draw ✓78% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Chad vs Burundi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 March the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Chad against Burundi. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Chad are 4th on 3 points after 6 matches; Burundi are 4th with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chad 1.1 xG, Burundi 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chad 22%, draw 54%, Burundi 24%.
Lower-risk option: Burundi or draw (78%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.05.
Price worth noting: Draw @2.92 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Burundi or draw (78%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chad 1–1 Burundi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chad22%fair 4.63 · @2.86
Draw54%fair 1.84 · @2.92
Burundi24%fair 4.15 · @2.52
2.16Expected goals
1.06Chad xG
1.11Burundi xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chad 1.1 – 1.1 Burundi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
54%
1.84
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Burundi or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Draw no bet
Burundi (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Chad +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Burundi to score first✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burundi / FT Burundi✓
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Recent results
Chad
No recent results on record.
Burundi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chad and Burundi.
Our pick is Burundi or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chad vs Burundi?
On our numbers Chad have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 54% and Burundi 24%.
How many goals will there be in Chad vs Burundi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chad vs Burundi?
Our predicted score is Chad 1–1 Burundi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chad vs Burundi?
Chad vs Burundi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Somalia0
Mauritius0
Sao Tome and Principe0
Ethiopia3