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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ukraine v Albania: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Ciudad de Valencia

Albania

Ukraine 41%Draw 27%Albania 32% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.17

76%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultUkraine to win ✓41% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28

Ukraine vs Albania: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Albania travel to face Ukraine on Tuesday 31 March in the Friendlies, with Ciudad de Valencia the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ukraine 1.3 xG, Albania 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ukraine 41%, draw 27%, Albania 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ukraine 1–1 Albania. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ukraine41%fair 2.44 · @2.15

Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.25

Albania32%fair 3.09 · @3.00

2.43Expected goals

1.25Ukraine xG

1.17Albania xG

56%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

0–09%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Ukraine 1.3 – 1.2 Albania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Ukraine	Albania
Attack vs Friendlies average	+2%	-20%
Goals conceded vs average	-12%	-4%
Our expected goals here	1.13	1.19

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ukraine to win ✓	41%	2.44	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.36	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	56%	1.80	1.73
Draw no bet	Ukraine (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.79	–
Asian handicap	Albania +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.42	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Ukraine to score first ✓	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ukraine / FT Ukraine ✗	22%	4.56	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.28	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ukraine and Albania.

Ukraine vs Albania head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ukraine vs Albania?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ukraine vs Albania?

On our numbers Ukraine have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Albania 32%.

How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Albania?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ukraine vs Albania?

Our predicted score is Ukraine 1–1 Albania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ukraine vs Albania?

Ukraine vs Albania (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ciudad de Valencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.