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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Santa Catarina v Cascavel: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck

Santa Catarina

WLLW
1–0
FT

Cascavel

DWLW
Santa Catarina 38%Draw 29%Cascavel 33% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.17
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.94 · bookmaker 2.10 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
2.10Odds
2

Value bet: Cascavel to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSanta Catarina to win ✓38% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.22

Santa Catarina vs Cascavel: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 7 June the Serie D brings Santa Catarina against Cascavel at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Santa Catarina, last 4: WLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cianorte, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Cascavel, last 4: DWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with São Luiz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Cascavel 1–0 Santa Catarina.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Santa Catarina 1.1 xG, Cascavel 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Catarina 38%, draw 29%, Cascavel 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Cascavel to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.94, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Catarina 1–1 Cascavel. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Santa Catarina38%fair 2.62 · @2.15
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @2.62
Cascavel33%fair 3.05 · @3.60
2.32Expected goals
1.14Santa Catarina xG
1.17Cascavel xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Santa Catarina 1.1 – 1.2 Cascavel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanta Catarina to win ✓38%2.622.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71%1.411.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.942.10 ▲
Draw no betSanta Catarina (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapSanta Catarina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.09–
First team to scoreCascavel to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cascavel / FT Cascavel ✗21%4.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.22–

Recent results

Santa Catarina – last 4

WLLW
31 May@ Cianorte3–1W
5 Apr@ Cascavel0–1L
12 Marvs Jacuipense0–1L
19 Febvs IAPE2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Cascavel – last 4

DWLW
31 Mayvs São Luiz0–0D
24 May@ Guarany de Bagé4–0W
17 May@ Cianorte0–1L
5 Aprvs Santa Catarina1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Cascavel v Santa Catarina1–0
Santa Catarina vs Cascavel head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau0 Sao Jose1 141%2.50X31%2.50228%3.00 1.2–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Independiente FSJ0 Marcílio Dias0 130%3.10X31%2.50240%2.45 0.8–1.0xG X2Marcílio Dias or draw 70%@1.30 ✓
FT Parnahyba1 Moto Club0 160%1.95X25%2.90216%3.75 1.7–0.8xG 1XParnahyba or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Sampaio Correa0 Iguatu1 153%1.62X26%3.00221%5.50 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.25 ✗
FT Guarany de Bagé0 Cianorte1 122%4.60X29%2.70249%1.85 1.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.40 ✗
FT São Luiz3 Joinville1 137%2.30X30%2.50233%3.30 1.1–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia2 União Rondonópolis0 165%1.44X24%3.80210%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Capital Brasilia to win 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Goiatuba EC1 CEOV Operário0 165%1.44X21%3.25213%7.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Goiatuba EC to win 65%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Santa Catarina vs Cascavel?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.

Who will win Santa Catarina vs Cascavel?

On our numbers Santa Catarina have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Cascavel 33%.

How many goals will there be in Santa Catarina vs Cascavel?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Santa Catarina vs Cascavel?

Our predicted score is Santa Catarina 1–1 Cascavel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Santa Catarina vs Cascavel?

Santa Catarina vs Cascavel (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.