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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Independiente FSJ v Marcílio Dias: numbers & prediction

Serie D · Brazil

Independiente FSJ

LDLD
0–0
FT

Marcílio Dias

DDWLW
Independiente FSJ 30%Draw 31%Marcílio Dias 40% Expected goals 0.80 – 0.98
70%
Betarazi pick

Marcílio Dias or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarcílio Dias to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceMarcílio Dias or draw ✓70% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.04

Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Sunday 7 June: Independiente FSJ v Marcílio Dias in the Serie D.

Current form

Independiente FSJ, last 4: LDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sao Jose, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Marcílio Dias, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sao Jose, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Marcílio Dias, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.5 for Independiente FSJ.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Marcílio Dias 0–0 Independiente FSJ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Independiente FSJ 0.8 xG, Marcílio Dias 1.0 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 74%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente FSJ 30%, draw 31%, Marcílio Dias 40%.
  • Lower-risk option: Marcílio Dias or draw (70%) at 1.30.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Marcílio Dias or draw (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente FSJ 0–0 Marcílio Dias. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Independiente FSJ30%fair 3.39 · @3.10
Draw31%fair 3.25 · @2.50
Marcílio Dias40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
1.78Expected goals
0.80Independiente FSJ xG
0.98Marcílio Dias xG
49%Both score
26%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–017%
0–117%
1–013%
1–113%
0–28%
1–26%

From our goals model: Independiente FSJ 0.8 – 1.0 Marcílio Dias expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarcílio Dias to win ✗40%2.522.45
Double chanceMarcílio Dias or draw ✓70%1.421.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.53
Draw no betMarcílio Dias (draw no bet)57%1.74–
Asian handicapIndependiente FSJ +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗53%1.88–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓97%1.04–
First team to scoreMarcílio Dias to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✓25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%6.04–

Recent results

Independiente FSJ – last 4

LDLD
31 May@ Sao Jose0–1L
24 Mayvs Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
19 Mayvs Azuriz0–1L
5 Apr@ Marcílio Dias0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Marcílio Dias – last 5

DDWLW
24 May@ Sao Jose1–1D
5 Aprvs Independiente FSJ0–0D
7 Marvs Joinville2–0W
26 Feb@ Carlos Renaux1–2L
21 Feb@ Figueirense1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Marcílio Dias v Independiente FSJ0–0
Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Blumenau0 Sao Jose1 141%2.50X31%2.50228%3.00 1.2–0.8xG 1XBlumenau or draw 72%@1.30 ✗
FT Parnahyba1 Moto Club0 160%1.95X25%2.90216%3.75 1.7–0.8xG 1XParnahyba or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT Sampaio Correa0 Iguatu1 153%1.62X26%3.00221%5.50 1.5–1.0xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.25 ✗
FT Guarany de Bagé0 Cianorte1 122%4.60X29%2.70249%1.85 1.0–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 53%@2.40 ✗
FT Santa Catarina1 Cascavel0 138%2.15X29%2.62233%3.60 1.1–1.2xG GGBoth teams to score 52%@2.10 ✗
FT São Luiz3 Joinville1 137%2.30X30%2.50233%3.30 1.1–1.0xG NGNot both teams to score 51%@1.44 ✗
FT Capital Brasilia2 União Rondonópolis0 165%1.44X24%3.80210%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Capital Brasilia to win 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Goiatuba EC1 CEOV Operário0 165%1.44X21%3.25213%7.00 1.7–0.6xG 1Goiatuba EC to win 65%@1.44 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

Our pick is Marcílio Dias or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

On our numbers Independiente FSJ have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Marcílio Dias 40%.

How many goals will there be in Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

Our predicted score is Independiente FSJ 0–0 Marcílio Dias, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.

When is Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias?

Independiente FSJ vs Marcílio Dias (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.