CA Bizertin 47%Draw 28%AS Marsa 25%Expected goals 1.11 – 0.86
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultCA Bizertin to win ✗47% · @1.95
Double chanceCA Bizertin or draw ✗75% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: CA Bizertin v AS Marsa in the Ligue 1, played at Stade 15 Octobre. In the table, CA Bizertin are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; AS Marsa are 11th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
CA Bizertin, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olympique Béja, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AS Marsa, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ES Zarzis, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CA Bizertin 1.1 xG, AS Marsa 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CA Bizertin 47%, draw 28%, AS Marsa 25%.
Lower-risk option: CA Bizertin or draw (75%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: CA Bizertin 1–0 AS Marsa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CA Bizertin47%fair 2.11 · @1.95
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @3.00
AS Marsa25%fair 4.02 · @3.90
1.97Expected goals
1.11CA Bizertin xG
0.86AS Marsa xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: CA Bizertin 1.1 – 0.9 AS Marsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA Bizertin to win✗
47%
2.11
1.95
Double chance
CA Bizertin or draw✗
75%
1.33
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.57
Draw no bet
CA Bizertin (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
AS Marsa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
CA Bizertin to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA Bizertin / FT CA Bizertin✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Recent results
CA Bizertin – last 5
LWWDD
30 Apr
@ Olympique Béja
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs US Monastirienne
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ AS Gabes
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
AS Marsa – last 5
WLWLL
30 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
0–4
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA Bizertin and AS Marsa.
What is the prediction for CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
On our numbers CA Bizertin have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and AS Marsa 25%.
How many goals will there be in CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
Our predicted score is CA Bizertin 1–0 AS Marsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade 15 Octobre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
US Monastirienne0