US Monastirienne 61%Draw 25%ES Metlaoui 14%Expected goals 1.47 – 0.58
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✗61% · @1.53
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw ✗86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.26
US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
US Monastirienne welcome ES Metlaoui to Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet for a Ligue 1 fixture on Monday 4 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
US Monastirienne, last 4: WWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over AS Gabes, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
ES Metlaoui, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over ES Sahel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours US Monastirienne, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for ES Metlaoui.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give US Monastirienne 1.5 xG, ES Metlaoui 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – US Monastirienne 61%, draw 25%, ES Metlaoui 14%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: US Monastirienne 1–0 ES Metlaoui. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
US Monastirienne61%fair 1.63 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.45
ES Metlaoui14%fair 7.17 · @6.40
2.05Expected goals
1.47US Monastirienne xG
0.58ES Metlaoui xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: US Monastirienne 1.5 – 0.6 ES Metlaoui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Monastirienne to win✗
61%
1.63
1.53
Double chance
US Monastirienne or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.53
Draw no bet
US Monastirienne (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
ES Metlaoui +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
US Monastirienne to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.26
–
Recent results
US Monastirienne – last 4
WWDW
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ CA Bizertin
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs ES Zarzis
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
ES Metlaoui – last 6
WWDDDL
29 Apr
vs ES Sahel
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs AS Marsa
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ US Ben Guerdane
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs AS Gabes
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Olympique Béja
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Club Africain
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and ES Metlaoui.
What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and ES Metlaoui 14%.
How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 1–0 ES Metlaoui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
