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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dundee v Aberdeen: numbers & prediction

Premiership · Scotland · Dens Park

Dundee

LLLDW
3–2
FT
Dundee 39%Draw 25%Aberdeen 36% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.29
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultDundee to win ✓39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Dundee vs Aberdeen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aberdeen travel to face Dundee on Sunday 17 May in the Premiership, with Dens Park the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Dundee are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Aberdeen are 11th (in the drop zone) with 11.

Current form

Dundee, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Kilmarnock, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.

Aberdeen, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to ST Mirren, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Aberdeen 2–3 Dundee.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dundee 1.4 xG, Aberdeen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dundee 39%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dundee 1–1 Aberdeen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dundee39%fair 2.53 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.45
Aberdeen36%fair 2.81 · @2.74
2.72Expected goals
1.42Dundee xG
1.29Aberdeen xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Dundee 1.4 – 1.3 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDundee to win ✓39%2.532.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.62
Draw no betDundee (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapAberdeen +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.38
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.181.13
First team to scoreDundee to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dundee / FT Dundee ✗24%4.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Dundee – last 5

LLLDW
12 May@ Kilmarnock1–3L
26 Apr@ Dundee Utd0–3L
5 Aprvs Celtic1–2L
15 Marvs Dundee Utd2–2D
21 Feb@ Aberdeen3–2W
1.4Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Aberdeen – last 6

LDLDLW
12 Mayvs ST Mirren0–2L
1 May@ Livingston2–2D
4 Marvs Celtic1–2L
24 Feb@ Dundee Utd0–0D
21 Febvs Dundee2–3L
18 Febvs Motherwell2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Feb 2026Aberdeen v Dundee2–3
Dundee vs Aberdeen head-to-head page →

Premiership table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Celtic131012+1831
2Rangers12831+1227
3Falkirk13634+621
4Heart Of Midlothian12624+420
5Dundee12525+317
6Dundee Utd12453017
7ST Johnstone13454-317
8ST Mirren13427-1014
9Motherwell13346-613
10Hibernian12327-211
11Aberdeen12327-611
12Kilmarnock13238-169

More Premiership predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dundee vs Aberdeen?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Dundee vs Aberdeen?

On our numbers Dundee have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aberdeen 36%.

How many goals will there be in Dundee vs Aberdeen?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Aberdeen?

Our predicted score is Dundee 1–1 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Dundee vs Aberdeen?

Dundee vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.