Value bet: Livingston to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLivingston to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
Livingston vs Kilmarnock: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Premiership brings Livingston against Kilmarnock at The Home of the Set Fare Arena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT.
Current form
Livingston, last 4: DDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dundee Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Kilmarnock, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Dundee, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livingston 1.7 xG, Kilmarnock 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livingston 44%, draw 23%, Kilmarnock 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Livingston to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livingston 1–1 Kilmarnock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livingston44%fair 2.29 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.55
Kilmarnock33%fair 3.03 · @2.40
2.86Expected goals
1.72Livingston xG
1.14Kilmarnock xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.7 – 1.1 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livingston to win✗
44%
2.29
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Livingston (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Kilmarnock +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Livingston to score first
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livingston / FT Livingston✗
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Recent results
Livingston – last 4
DDDD
12 May
@ Dundee Utd
0–0
D
1 May
vs Aberdeen
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rangers
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 3
WDL
12 May
vs Dundee
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Celtic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Livingston have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kilmarnock 33%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Livingston vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
