Value bet: Dundee Utd to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultST Mirren to win ✗39% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.04
ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: ST Mirren v Dundee Utd in the Premiership, played at The SMISA Stadium. In the table, ST Mirren are 8th, lower half, on 14 points after 13 matches; Dundee Utd are 6th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
ST Mirren, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Aberdeen, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Dundee Utd, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Livingston, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Dundee Utd, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for ST Mirren.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Dundee Utd 2–1 ST Mirren.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ST Mirren 1.4 xG, Dundee Utd 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ST Mirren 39%, draw 25%, Dundee Utd 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Dundee Utd to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ST Mirren39%fair 2.54 · @2.12
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.50
Dundee Utd36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
2.72Expected goals
1.36ST Mirren xG
1.35Dundee Utd xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.4 – 1.4 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Dundee Utd 36%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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