Moldova vs Bulgaria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 5 June: Moldova v Bulgaria in the Friendlies, played at Stadionul Zimbru.
Current form
Bulgaria, last 3: LWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montenegro, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Moldova 1.1 xG, Bulgaria 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Moldova 26%, draw 26%, Bulgaria 48%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Moldova 1–1 Bulgaria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Moldova26%fair 3.84 · @3.65
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Bulgaria48%fair 2.07 · @1.98
2.66Expected goals
1.13Moldova xG
1.52Bulgaria xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Moldova 1.1 – 1.5 Bulgaria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Moldova
Bulgaria
Attack vs Friendlies average
-1%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
+1%
Our expected goals here
1.28
1.55
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bulgaria to win✗
48%
2.07
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Bulgaria (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Moldova +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Bulgaria to score first✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bulgaria / FT Bulgaria✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Moldova – last 2
LL
30 Mar
@ Cyprus
2–3
L
26 Mar
vs Lithuania
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bulgaria – last 3
LWW
1 Jun
vs Montenegro
0–1
L
30 Mar
@ Indonesia
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Solomon Islands
10–2
W
3.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moldova and Bulgaria.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Moldova vs Bulgaria?
On our numbers Moldova have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bulgaria 48%.
How many goals will there be in Moldova vs Bulgaria?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moldova vs Bulgaria?
Our predicted score is Moldova 1–1 Bulgaria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Moldova vs Bulgaria?
Moldova vs Bulgaria (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Zimbru.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Czech Republic3
Guatemala1
Mexico5
Serbia1
Singapore1
China2
Hong Kong2
Mongolia0
Thailand2
Kuwait2
Indonesia3
Oman0
Tajikistan3
India1
Slovakia2
Montenegro2