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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Morocco v Norway: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Morocco

WWD
1–1
FT

Norway

WDL
Morocco 42%Draw 24%Norway 34% Expected goals 1.59 – 1.25
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
1

Value bet: Morocco to win @ 3.10 – our chance 42% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMorocco to win ✗42% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Morocco vs Norway: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Norway travel to face Morocco on Sunday 7 June in the Friendlies, with Sports Illustrated Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Morocco, last 3: WWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Madagascar, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Norway, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sweden, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Morocco, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Norway.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morocco 1.6 xG, Norway 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Morocco 42%, draw 24%, Norway 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Morocco to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morocco 1–1 Norway. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morocco42%fair 2.41 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.50
Norway34%fair 2.93 · @2.16
2.83Expected goals
1.59Morocco xG
1.25Norway xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: Morocco 1.6 – 1.2 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MoroccoNorway
Attack vs Friendlies average+8%-1%
Goals conceded vs average-8%-8%
Our expected goals here1.701.11

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorocco to win ✗42%2.413.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.73
Draw no betMorocco (draw no bet)55%1.82–
Asian handicapNorway +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.431.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.181.11
First team to scoreMorocco to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morocco / FT Morocco ✗27%3.70–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.84–

Recent results

Morocco – last 3

WWD
2 Junvs Madagascar4–0W
31 Marvs Paraguay2–1W
27 Marvs Ecuador1–1D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Norway – last 3

WDL
1 Junvs Sweden3–1W
31 Marvs Switzerland0–0D
27 Mar@ Netherlands1–2L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Norway.

Morocco vs Norway head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Curaçao4 Aruba0 167%1.09X17%8.00216%21.00 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓
FT Argentina2 Honduras0 178%1.11X14%7.7527%25.00 2.8–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✗
FT Afghanistan0 Pakistan2 139%2.38X23%3.00238%2.85 0.8–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓
FT Liechtenstein0 Cyprus2 117%10.00X22%4.60260%1.28 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Kenya4 Lesotho0 165%1.70X22%3.20214%5.10 1.6–0.5xG 1Kenya to win 65%@1.70 ✓
– Oman Mozambique 126%2.35X53%3.00220%2.95 1.3–1.2xG 1XOman or draw 80%@1.30
FT Maldives1 Bangladesh U231 129%2.10X51%3.25220%3.00 0.9–0.8xG 1XMaldives or draw 80%@1.30 ✓
– Denmark2 Ukraine1 158%1.65X24%3.70218%5.10 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Norway?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Morocco vs Norway?

On our numbers Morocco have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norway 34%.

How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Norway?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Norway?

Our predicted score is Morocco 1–1 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Morocco vs Norway?

Morocco vs Norway (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.