Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.12
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the First League brings Arda Kardzhali against Cherno More Varna at Arena Arda. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Arda Kardzhali are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 14 matches; Cherno More Varna are 9th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cherno More Varna, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Cherno More Varna 0–0 Arda Kardzhali.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arda Kardzhali 1.3 xG, Cherno More Varna 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arda Kardzhali 45%, draw 28%, Cherno More Varna 27%.
Lower-risk option: Arda Kardzhali or draw (73%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Arda Kardzhali or draw (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Cherno More Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arda Kardzhali45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.95
Cherno More Varna27%fair 3.66 · @3.55
2.21Expected goals
1.28Arda Kardzhali xG
0.93Cherno More Varna xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.3 – 0.9 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Arda Kardzhali or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cherno More Varna 27%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
