Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Botev Plovdiv welcome Lokomotiv Plovdiv to Stadion Hristo Botev for a First League fixture on Sunday 3 May (14:15 WAT). In the table, Botev Plovdiv are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 14 matches; Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Botev Plovdiv, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Dobrudzha, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arda Kardzhali, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Botev Plovdiv, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botev Plovdiv 1.5 xG, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botev Plovdiv 53%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 20%.
Lower-risk option: Botev Plovdiv or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botev Plovdiv53%fair 1.90 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.66 · @3.30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv20%fair 5.01 · @3.85
2.35Expected goals
1.50Botev Plovdiv xG
0.86Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Botev Plovdiv 1.5 – 0.9 Lokomotiv Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
On our numbers Botev Plovdiv have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lokomotiv Plovdiv 20%.
How many goals will there be in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Our predicted score is Botev Plovdiv 1–0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Hristo Botev.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
