CSKA Sofia 38%Draw 26%Ludogorets 36%Expected goals 1.36 – 1.24
74%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultCSKA Sofia to win38% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.75
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 3 May the First League brings CSKA Sofia against Ludogorets at National Stadium Vasil Levski. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, CSKA Sofia are 1st, leading the league, on 34 points after 14 matches; Ludogorets are 3rd (among the top four) with 30.
Current form
CSKA Sofia, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ludogorets, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ludogorets, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with CSKA Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.8 for Ludogorets.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended CSKA Sofia 0–0 Ludogorets. The last 2 head-to-heads: CSKA Sofia 1 win, Ludogorets 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSKA Sofia 1.4 xG, Ludogorets 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSKA Sofia 38%, draw 26%, Ludogorets 36%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSKA Sofia38%fair 2.62 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.20
Ludogorets36%fair 2.76 · @2.45
2.59Expected goals
1.36CSKA Sofia xG
1.24Ludogorets xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.4 – 1.2 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ludogorets 36%.
How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
