Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arda Kardzhali travel to face Cherno More Varna on Monday 25 May in the First League, with Ticha Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:45 WAT. In the table, Cherno More Varna are 9th, lower half, on 13 points after 14 matches; Arda Kardzhali are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Cherno More Varna, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Arda Kardzhali, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Botev Plovdiv, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Arda Kardzhali 0–0 Cherno More Varna. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cherno More Varna 0 wins, Arda Kardzhali 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 0.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherno More Varna 1.2 xG, Arda Kardzhali 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherno More Varna 36%, draw 27%, Arda Kardzhali 37%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherno More Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherno More Varna36%fair 2.81 · @2.75
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.10
Arda Kardzhali37%fair 2.68 · @2.45
2.32Expected goals
1.16Cherno More Varna xG
1.15Arda Kardzhali xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cherno More Varna 1.2 – 1.2 Arda Kardzhali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
On our numbers Cherno More Varna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Arda Kardzhali 37%.
How many goals will there be in Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Our predicted score is Cherno More Varna 1–1 Arda Kardzhali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali?
Cherno More Varna vs Arda Kardzhali (First League) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Ticha Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
