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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Huvepharma Arena

Ludogorets

DDLLL
1–0
FT

CSKA Sofia

DWDWD
Ludogorets 54%Draw 24%CSKA Sofia 22% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.06
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLudogorets to win ✓54% · @1.64
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓78% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

CSKA Sofia travel to face Ludogorets on Monday 25 May in the First League, with Huvepharma Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT. In the table, Ludogorets are 3rd, among the top four, on 30 points after 13 matches; CSKA Sofia are 1st (leading the league) with 34.

Current form

Ludogorets, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Levski Sofia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

CSKA Sofia, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with CSKA 1948, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours CSKA Sofia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Ludogorets.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended CSKA Sofia 0–0 Ludogorets. The last 2 head-to-heads: Ludogorets 0 wins, CSKA Sofia 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ludogorets 1.6 xG, CSKA Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ludogorets 54%, draw 24%, CSKA Sofia 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ludogorets54%fair 1.84 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.70
CSKA Sofia22%fair 4.59 · @4.60
2.64Expected goals
1.58Ludogorets xG
1.06CSKA Sofia xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Ludogorets 1.6 – 1.1 CSKA Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win ✓54%1.841.64
Double chanceLudogorets or draw ✓78%1.281.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.73
Draw no betLudogorets (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapCSKA Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.971.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.421.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLudogorets to score first ✓56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✗30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.58–

Recent results

Ludogorets – last 6

DDLLLD
13 Mayvs Levski Sofia1–1D
29 Apr@ CSKA Sofia0–0D
25 Aprvs CSKA 19481–2L
21 Aprvs CSKA Sofia1–2L
15 Apr@ Arda Kardzhali0–1L
9 Aprvs Cherno More Varna0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CSKA Sofia – last 6

DWDWDW
13 Mayvs CSKA 19481–1D
8 May@ CSKA 19481–0W
29 Aprvs Ludogorets0–0D
21 Apr@ Ludogorets2–1W
13 Aprvs Levski Sofia1–1D
8 Apr@ Montana1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets0–0
21 Apr 2026Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia1–2
Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Cherno More Varna2 Arda Kardzhali3 136%2.75X27%3.10237%2.45 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✗
FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv2 Botev Plovdiv1 132%2.95X27%3.20241%2.20 1.1–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT CSKA 19480 Levski Sofia0 139%2.33X28%2.80233%3.20 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

On our numbers Ludogorets have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CSKA Sofia 22%.

How many goals will there be in Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

Our predicted score is Ludogorets 1–1 CSKA Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia?

Ludogorets vs CSKA Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Huvepharma Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.