Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Botev Plovdiv Prediction & Expected Goals (25 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBotev Plovdiv to win ✗41% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lokomotiv Plovdiv welcome Botev Plovdiv to Stadion Lokomotiv for a First League fixture on Monday 25 May (15:45 WAT). In the table, Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 14 matches; Botev Plovdiv are 5th (upper half) with 23.

Current form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cherno More Varna, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Botev Plovdiv, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arda Kardzhali, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Botev Plovdiv 0–2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv. The last 2 head-to-heads: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 win, Botev Plovdiv 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 xG, Botev Plovdiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Plovdiv 32%, draw 27%, Botev Plovdiv 41%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Botev Plovdiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Plovdiv32%fair 3.13 · @2.95

Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.20

Botev Plovdiv41%fair 2.44 · @2.20

2.32Expected goals

1.08Lokomotiv Plovdiv xG

1.24Botev Plovdiv xG

53%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–011%

0–010%

1–28%

0–28%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 – 1.2 Botev Plovdiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Botev Plovdiv to win ✗	41%	2.44	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	1.80
Draw no bet	Botev Plovdiv (draw no bet) ✗	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Lokomotiv Plovdiv +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.29	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.76	1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.30	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.09	–
First team to score	Botev Plovdiv to score first	48%	2.07	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Botev Plovdiv / FT Botev Plovdiv ✗	23%	4.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.22	–

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – last 6

LWWDLW

12 May	@ Cherno More Varna	0–2	L
8 May	vs Arda Kardzhali	2–0	W
3 May	@ Botev Plovdiv	2–0	W
30 Apr	vs Arda Kardzhali	1–1	D
26 Apr	vs Cherno More Varna	0–1	L
22 Apr	@ Arda Kardzhali	4–0	W

1.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Botev Plovdiv – last 6

LLWDWD

12 May	vs Arda Kardzhali	1–2	L
3 May	vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0–2	L
14 Apr	@ Dobrudzha	3–0	W
8 Apr	vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1–1	D
20 Mar	@ Slavia Sofia	1–0	W
8 Mar	@ CSKA 1948	0–0	D

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia	14	10	4	0	+23	34
2	Levski Sofia	13	10	2	1	+17	32
3	Ludogorets	13	9	3	1	+15	30
4	CSKA 1948	14	9	2	3	+17	29
5	Botev Plovdiv	14	7	2	5	+2	23
6	Arda Kardzhali	14	6	3	5	-2	21
7	Spartak Varna	14	4	4	6	-10	16
8	Slavia Sofia	14	2	8	4	0	14
9	Cherno More Varna	14	3	4	7	-8	13
10	Dunav Ruse	14	3	3	8	-7	12
11	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	14	3	3	8	-10	12
12	Septemvri Sofia	14	3	2	9	-13	11
13	Botev Vratsa	14	2	4	8	-13	10
14	Lokomotiv Sofia	14	1	6	7	-11	9

Team

Pts

+23

+17

+15

+17

-2

-10

-8

-7

-10

-13

-13

-11

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Plovdiv have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Botev Plovdiv 41%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 Botev Plovdiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Plovdiv (First League) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Botev Plovdiv: numbers & prediction