Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Septemvri Sofia travel to face Beroe on Monday 18 May in the First League, with Stadion Beroe the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Beroe, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv Sofia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Septemvri Sofia, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Spartak Varna, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Beroe 1.4 xG, Septemvri Sofia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Beroe 42%, draw 26%, Septemvri Sofia 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Beroe 1–1 Septemvri Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Beroe42%fair 2.39 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.20
Septemvri Sofia32%fair 3.12 · @2.65
2.49Expected goals
1.35Beroe xG
1.14Septemvri Sofia xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Beroe 1.4 – 1.1 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beroe to win✗
42%
2.39
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.80
Draw no bet
Beroe (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Septemvri Sofia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Beroe to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beroe / FT Beroe✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Beroe – last 6
DDWWDL
14 May
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
5 May
vs Montana
2–2
D
2 May
vs Slavia Sofia
3–0
W
24 Apr
@ Spartak Varna
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
WDLDDD
14 May
vs Spartak Varna
1–0
W
10 May
@ Botev Vratsa
1–1
D
6 May
@ Slavia Sofia
1–2
L
1 May
vs Montana
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Lokomotiv Sofia
1–1
D
16 Apr
vs Spartak Varna
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Beroe and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Beroe have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Septemvri Sofia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Beroe 1–1 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia?
Beroe vs Septemvri Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Beroe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dobrudzha1
Montana0