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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lokomotiv Sofia v Slavia Sofia: numbers & prediction

First League · Bulgaria · Stadion Lokomotiv

Lokomotiv Sofia

DDDWD
2–0
FT

Slavia Sofia

LLWLD
Lokomotiv Sofia 49%Draw 26%Slavia Sofia 25% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.16
72%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✓49% · @1.55
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓75% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Slavia Sofia travel to face Lokomotiv Sofia on Monday 18 May in the First League, with Stadion Lokomotiv the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Lokomotiv Sofia are 14th, in the drop zone, on 9 points after 14 matches; Slavia Sofia are 8th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Lokomotiv Sofia, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Beroe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Slavia Sofia, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Dobrudzha, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia Sofia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Sofia 1.3 xG, Slavia Sofia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Sofia 49%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia Sofia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lokomotiv Sofia49%fair 2.03 · @1.55
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.75
Slavia Sofia25%fair 3.99 · @5.25
2.51Expected goals
1.34Lokomotiv Sofia xG
1.16Slavia Sofia xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Lokomotiv Sofia 1.3 – 1.2 Slavia Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLokomotiv Sofia to win ✓49%2.031.55
Double chanceLokomotiv Sofia or draw ✓75%1.331.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.77
Draw no betLokomotiv Sofia (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapSlavia Sofia +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.961.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLokomotiv Sofia to score first ✓49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lokomotiv Sofia / FT Lokomotiv Sofia ✓24%4.22–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.69–

Recent results

Lokomotiv Sofia – last 6

DDDWDL
14 Mayvs Beroe1–1D
9 May@ Montana2–2D
5 Mayvs Botev Vratsa2–2D
1 May@ Dobrudzha3–0W
27 Aprvs Septemvri Sofia1–1D
14 Apr@ Botev Vratsa2–3L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Slavia Sofia – last 6

LLWLDD
13 Mayvs Dobrudzha0–2L
10 May@ Spartak Varna1–2L
6 Mayvs Septemvri Sofia2–1W
2 May@ Beroe0–3L
26 Aprvs Botev Vratsa1–1D
16 Apr@ Montana0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026Lokomotiv Sofia v Slavia Sofia1–1
Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

League hub
FT Beroe0 Septemvri Sofia1 142%2.40X26%3.20232%2.65 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Dobrudzha1 Botev Vratsa2 151%1.60X26%3.50224%5.40 1.3–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT Montana0 Spartak Varna2 119%8.00X21%4.60260%1.33 1.0–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

On our numbers Lokomotiv Sofia have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Slavia Sofia 25%.

How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Sofia 1–1 Slavia Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?

Lokomotiv Sofia vs Slavia Sofia (First League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Lokomotiv.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.