Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSpartak Varna to win ✓60% · @1.33
Double chanceSpartak Varna or draw ✓81% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Montana vs Spartak Varna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 18 May the First League brings Montana against Spartak Varna at Ogosta Stadium. Kick-off: 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Montana, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Botev Vratsa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Spartak Varna, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Septemvri Sofia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Spartak Varna 1–0 Montana.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Montana 1.0 xG, Spartak Varna 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Montana 19%, draw 21%, Spartak Varna 60%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Montana 1–1 Spartak Varna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Montana19%fair 5.34 · @8.00
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @4.60
Spartak Varna60%fair 1.67 · @1.33
2.71Expected goals
1.02Montana xG
1.70Spartak Varna xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Montana 1.0 – 1.7 Spartak Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Montana vs Spartak Varna?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Montana vs Spartak Varna?
On our numbers Montana have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Varna 60%.
How many goals will there be in Montana vs Spartak Varna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Montana vs Spartak Varna?
Our predicted score is Montana 1–1 Spartak Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Montana vs Spartak Varna?
Montana vs Spartak Varna (First League) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Ogosta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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