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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Welayta Dicha v Hadiya Hosaena: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–0
FT
Welayta Dicha 52%Draw 29%Hadiya Hosaena 19% Expected goals 1.33 – 0.66
57%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.48

Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Welayta Dicha v Hadiya Hosaena in the Premier League. In the table, Welayta Dicha are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 5 matches; Hadiya Hosaena are 13th (lower half) with 4.

Current form

Welayta Dicha, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sheger Ketema, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Hadiya Hosaena, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mekelle Kenema, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Welayta Dicha, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Hadiya Hosaena.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Welayta Dicha 1.3 xG, Hadiya Hosaena 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Welayta Dicha 52%, draw 29%, Hadiya Hosaena 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Welayta Dicha or draw (81%) at 1.14.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welayta Dicha 2–0 Hadiya Hosaena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Welayta Dicha52%fair 1.91 · @1.95
Draw29%fair 3.47 · @2.70
Hadiya Hosaena19%fair 5.28 · @4.10
1.99Expected goals
1.33Welayta Dicha xG
0.66Hadiya Hosaena xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–014%
2–012%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 1.3 – 0.7 Hadiya Hosaena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWelayta Dicha to win ✓52%1.911.95
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✓81%1.231.14
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓60%1.66–
Draw no betWelayta Dicha (draw no bet) ✓73%1.36–
Asian handicapHadiya Hosaena +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗57%1.761.65
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.05–
First team to scoreWelayta Dicha to score first ✓58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha ✓31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.48–

Recent results

Welayta Dicha – last 6

DWLWDD
29 Apr@ Sheger Ketema0–0D
20 Apr@ Suhul Shire1–0W
14 Aprvs Fasil Ketema0–1L
9 Apr@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni1–0W
4 Aprvs Ethiopia Nigd Bank0–0D
15 Mar@ Mekelle Kenema0–0D
0.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Hadiya Hosaena – last 6

DDDWLL
30 Aprvs Mekelle Kenema1–1D
19 Apr@ Negelle Arsi1–1D
14 Aprvs Ethiopia Bunna2–2D
9 Apr@ Arba Minch Kenema1–0W
4 Aprvs Kedus Giorgis1–2L
13 Marvs Sheger Ketema0–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Hadiya Hosaena.

Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Hadiya Hosaena 19%.

How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 2–0 Hadiya Hosaena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.