Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.87
Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Monday 4 May: Mekelakeya v Adama Kenema in the Premier League. In the table, Mekelakeya are 2nd, among the top four, on 10 points after 5 matches; Adama Kenema are 10th (lower half) with 6.
Current form
Mekelakeya, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Mebrat Hayl, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Adama Kenema, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dire Dawa Kenema, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mekelakeya, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Adama Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mekelakeya 1.1 xG, Adama Kenema 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mekelakeya 43%, draw 31%, Adama Kenema 26%.
Lower-risk option: Mekelakeya or draw (74%) at 1.28.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mekelakeya or draw (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mekelakeya 1–0 Adama Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mekelakeya43%fair 2.34 · @2.30
Draw31%fair 3.21 · @2.75
Adama Kenema26%fair 3.83 · @3.10
1.87Expected goals
1.11Mekelakeya xG
0.77Adama Kenema xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mekelakeya 1.1 – 0.8 Adama Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelakeya to win✗
43%
2.34
2.30
Double chance
Mekelakeya or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Mekelakeya (draw no bet)
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Adama Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Mekelakeya to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mekelakeya / FT Mekelakeya✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.87
–
Recent results
Mekelakeya – last 6
WDWWDD
29 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
0–0
D
15 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Sidama Bunna
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Adama Kenema – last 6
DLLLLL
29 Apr
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–1
L
14 Apr
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Bahardar
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Arba Minch Kenema
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mekelakeya and Adama Kenema.
What is the prediction for Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?
Our pick is Mekelakeya or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?
On our numbers Mekelakeya have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Adama Kenema 26%.
How many goals will there be in Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?
Our predicted score is Mekelakeya 1–0 Adama Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema?
Mekelakeya vs Adama Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
