Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 4 May the Premier League brings Awassa Kenema against Sheger Ketema. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Awassa Kenema are 11th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Sheger Ketema are 12th (lower half) with 5. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Awassa Kenema, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ethiopian Medhin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sheger Ketema, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Welayta Dicha, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sheger Ketema, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Awassa Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Awassa Kenema 1.0 xG, Sheger Ketema 1.0 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Awassa Kenema 34%, draw 31%, Sheger Ketema 35%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.95, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Awassa Kenema 1–1 Sheger Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Awassa Kenema34%fair 2.96 · @2.75
Draw31%fair 3.20 · @2.50
Sheger Ketema35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
1.97Expected goals
0.98Awassa Kenema xG
1.00Sheger Ketema xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–014%
0–114%
1–014%
1–114%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Awassa Kenema 1.0 – 1.0 Sheger Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✗
35%
2.86
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Sheger Ketema (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Awassa Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Sheger Ketema to score first✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.84
–
Recent results
Awassa Kenema – last 6
LDDLDW
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sheger Ketema – last 6
DWDDLW
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Awassa Kenema and Sheger Ketema.
What is the prediction for Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
On our numbers Awassa Kenema have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sheger Ketema 35%.
How many goals will there be in Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Our predicted score is Awassa Kenema 1–1 Sheger Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema?
Awassa Kenema vs Sheger Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
