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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Kedus Giorgis v Mekelle Kenema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–0
FT
Kedus Giorgis 44%Draw 29%Mekelle Kenema 27% Expected goals 1.17 – 0.84
58%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceKedus Giorgis or draw ✓73% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.37

Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Mekelle Kenema travel to face Kedus Giorgis on Saturday 9 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Kedus Giorgis, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ethiopia Nigd Bank, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Mekelle Kenema, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Arba Minch Kenema, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Kedus Giorgis 1.2 xG, Mekelle Kenema 0.8 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Kedus Giorgis 44%, draw 29%, Mekelle Kenema 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: Kedus Giorgis or draw (73%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kedus Giorgis 1–1 Mekelle Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Kedus Giorgis44%fair 2.27 · @2.05
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.75
Mekelle Kenema27%fair 3.69 · @3.65
2.01Expected goals
1.17Kedus Giorgis xG
0.84Mekelle Kenema xG
41%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 1.2 – 0.8 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKedus Giorgis to win ✓44%2.272.05
Double chanceKedus Giorgis or draw ✓73%1.371.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.68–
Draw no betKedus Giorgis (draw no bet) ✓62%1.62–
Asian handicapMekelle Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗58%1.731.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓86%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓95%1.06–
First team to scoreKedus Giorgis to score first ✓50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kedus Giorgis / FT Kedus Giorgis ✗25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16%6.37–

Recent results

Kedus Giorgis – last 6

LDLWDW
5 May@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank0–2L
1 Mayvs Sidama Bunna0–0D
26 Aprvs Ethiopia Bunna1–3L
21 Aprvs Adama Kenema1–0W
13 Apr@ Arba Minch Kenema2–2D
8 Aprvs Mebrat Hayl2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mekelle Kenema – last 6

LDWLDL
5 Mayvs Arba Minch Kenema0–2L
30 Apr@ Hadiya Hosaena1–1D
13 Aprvs Welwalo Adigrat Uni2–1W
8 Apr@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank0–3L
15 Marvs Welayta Dicha0–0D
10 Mar@ Awassa Kenema0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Kedus Giorgis and Mekelle Kenema.

Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Mekelle Kenema 27%.

How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 1–1 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?

Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.