Value bet: Hadiya Hosaena to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAwassa Kenema to win36% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win69% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.30
Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Awassa Kenema travel to face Hadiya Hosaena on Saturday 9 May in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Hadiya Hosaena are 13th, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Awassa Kenema are 11th (lower half) with 5. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Welayta Dicha, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Awassa Kenema, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sheger Ketema, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hadiya Hosaena 1.0 xG, Awassa Kenema 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hadiya Hosaena 34%, draw 31%, Awassa Kenema 36%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Hadiya Hosaena to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Awassa Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hadiya Hosaena34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
Draw31%fair 3.24 · @2.62
Awassa Kenema36%fair 2.81 · @2.30
1.92Expected goals
0.99Hadiya Hosaena xG
0.94Awassa Kenema xG
50%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hadiya Hosaena 1.0 – 0.9 Awassa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Awassa Kenema to win
36%
2.81
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
69%
1.45
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
50%
1.98
1.60
Draw no bet
Awassa Kenema (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Awassa Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Hadiya Hosaena to score first
44%
2.28
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.30
–
Recent results
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
LDDDWL
4 May
@ Welayta Dicha
0–1
L
30 Apr
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
14 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLDDLD
4 May
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hadiya Hosaena and Awassa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
On our numbers Hadiya Hosaena have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Awassa Kenema 36%.
How many goals will there be in Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Awassa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema0
Suhul Shire0