Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.63
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the Premier League brings Ethiopia Bunna against Mekelakeya. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Ethiopia Bunna are 14th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Mekelakeya are 2nd (among the top four) with 10.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dire Dawa Kenema, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Mekelakeya, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Adama Kenema, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Mekelakeya, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Ethiopia Bunna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 0.9 xG, Mekelakeya 1.1 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 69% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 32%, draw 30%, Mekelakeya 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (58%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Mekelakeya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopia Bunna32%fair 3.14 · @2.85
Draw30%fair 3.32 · @2.80
Mekelakeya38%fair 2.63 · @2.45
1.95Expected goals
0.89Ethiopia Bunna xG
1.06Mekelakeya xG
42%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 0.9 – 1.1 Mekelakeya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelakeya to win
38%
2.63
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win
70%
1.43
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Mekelakeya (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia Bunna +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
58%
1.71
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
95%
1.05
–
First team to score
Mekelakeya to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.63
–
Recent results
Ethiopia Bunna – last 6
DLWDDD
5 May
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–4
L
26 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mekelakeya – last 6
DWDWWD
4 May
vs Adama Kenema
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
0–0
D
15 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Sidama Bunna
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Bunna and Mekelakeya.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mekelakeya 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Mekelakeya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema0
Suhul Shire0