Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.84
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Sheger Ketema v Mekelle Kenema in the Premier League.
Current form
Sheger Ketema, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sidama Bunna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Mekelle Kenema, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ethiopian Medhin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Sheger Ketema, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Mekelle Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sheger Ketema 1.1 xG, Mekelle Kenema 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sheger Ketema 43%, draw 30%, Mekelle Kenema 27%.
Lower-risk option: Sheger Ketema or draw (73%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sheger Ketema or draw (73%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sheger Ketema 1–0 Mekelle Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sheger Ketema43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw30%fair 3.29 · @2.70
Mekelle Kenema27%fair 3.71 · @3.40
1.84Expected goals
1.08Sheger Ketema xG
0.76Mekelle Kenema xG
39%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 1.1 – 0.8 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✗
43%
2.34
2.20
Double chance
Sheger Ketema or draw✗
73%
1.37
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
–
Draw no bet
Sheger Ketema (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Mekelle Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Sheger Ketema to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheger Ketema / FT Sheger Ketema✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.84
–
Recent results
Sheger Ketema – last 6
WDDWDD
10 May
vs Sidama Bunna
1–0
W
4 May
@ Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
20 Apr
@ Bahardar
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Bunna
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Mekelle Kenema – last 6
DLLDWL
15 May
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
9 May
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–1
L
5 May
vs Arba Minch Kenema
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Mekelle Kenema.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our pick is Sheger Ketema or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Mekelle Kenema 27%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 1–0 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema?
Sheger Ketema vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dire Dawa Kenema1