Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mebrat Hayl welcome Dire Dawa Kenema for a Premier League fixture on Wednesday 20 May (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Mebrat Hayl, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Suhul Shire, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Dire Dawa Kenema, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Negelle Arsi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mebrat Hayl 1.0 xG, Dire Dawa Kenema 0.7 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mebrat Hayl 41%, draw 32%, Dire Dawa Kenema 27%.
Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (73%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Mebrat Hayl or draw (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Dire Dawa Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mebrat Hayl41%fair 2.44 · @2.38
Draw32%fair 3.11 · @2.50
Dire Dawa Kenema27%fair 3.73 · @3.20
1.69Expected goals
0.99Mebrat Hayl xG
0.70Dire Dawa Kenema xG
46%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 1.0 – 0.7 Dire Dawa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mebrat Hayl to win✗
41%
2.44
2.38
Double chance
Mebrat Hayl or draw✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.50
Draw no bet
Mebrat Hayl (draw no bet)
60%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Dire Dawa Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
97%
1.03
–
First team to score
Mebrat Hayl to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.49
–
Recent results
Mebrat Hayl – last 6
LLDWLD
5 May
@ Suhul Shire
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Mekelakeya
0–1
L
20 Apr
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Bahardar
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dire Dawa Kenema – last 6
LDDLLW
11 May
@ Negelle Arsi
0–3
L
5 May
vs Ethiopia Bunna
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Sidama Bunna
0–2
L
15 Apr
vs Mekelakeya
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Suhul Shire
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Dire Dawa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Our pick is Mebrat Hayl or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Dire Dawa Kenema 27%.
How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Dire Dawa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Mebrat Hayl vs Dire Dawa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema1