Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.57
Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 20 May the Premier League brings Ethiopia Bunna against Fasil Ketema. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Ethiopia Bunna are 14th, lower half, on 4 points after 5 matches; Fasil Ketema are 15th (lower half) with 3. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Suhul Shire, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Fasil Ketema, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bahardar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fasil Ketema, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Ethiopia Bunna.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 0.9 xG, Fasil Ketema 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 36%, draw 32%, Fasil Ketema 32%.
Lower-risk option: Ethiopia Bunna or draw (68%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ethiopia Bunna or draw (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Fasil Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ethiopia Bunna36%fair 2.75 · @2.50
Draw32%fair 3.14 · @2.50
Fasil Ketema32%fair 3.15 · @2.90
1.83Expected goals
0.94Ethiopia Bunna xG
0.88Fasil Ketema xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–16%
From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 0.9 – 0.9 Fasil Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win✓
36%
2.75
2.50
Double chance
Ethiopia Bunna or draw✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.60
Draw no bet
Ethiopia Bunna (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Fasil Ketema +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Ethiopia Bunna to score first✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.57
–
Recent results
Ethiopia Bunna – last 6
LDLWDD
14 May
@ Suhul Shire
0–1
L
5 May
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–4
L
26 Apr
@ Kedus Giorgis
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arba Minch Kenema
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fasil Ketema – last 6
LDWWDD
6 May
vs Bahardar
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Welayta Dicha
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Bunna and Fasil Ketema.
What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Our pick is Ethiopia Bunna or draw with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Fasil Ketema 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 0–0 Fasil Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema?
Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema1
Dire Dawa Kenema1