Value bet: Union Plaani to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMyPa to win ✓43% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗68% · @1.29
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.57
MyPa vs Union Plaani: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 11 July: MyPa v Union Plaani in the Kakkonen Lohko A. In the table, MyPa are 9th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Union Plaani are 10th (in the drop zone) with 14. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MyPa, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to HIFK Helsinki, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Union Plaani, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over PuiU Helsinki, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MyPa 1.9 xG, Union Plaani 2.0 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 74% for three or more goals, 68% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MyPa 43%, draw 21%, Union Plaani 36%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.29.
Price worth noting: Union Plaani to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: MyPa 1–1 Union Plaani. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MyPa43%fair 2.31 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.80
Union Plaani36%fair 2.82 · @3.00
3.84Expected goals
1.86MyPa xG
1.98Union Plaani xG
68%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
2–35%
From our goals model: MyPa 1.9 – 2.0 Union Plaani expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
MyPa to win✓
43%
2.31
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.29
Draw no bet
MyPa (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
MyPa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
First team to score
Union Plaani to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Union Plaani ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union Plaani / FT Union Plaani✗
26%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.57
–
Recent results
MyPa – last 6
LLDLDL
4 Jul
@ HIFK Helsinki
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Atlantis
1–2
L
13 Jun
@ PuiU Helsinki
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs PPJ
1–3
L
29 May
vs PEPO
0–0
D
26 May
@ HJK Helsinki
1–11
L
0.7Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Plaani – last 6
WLLLLD
4 Jul
vs PuiU Helsinki
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs HIFK Helsinki
0–3
L
13 Jun
@ Reipas
2–4
L
6 Jun
vs HPS
0–2
L
29 May
vs Kiffen
0–2
L
23 May
@ PEPO
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MyPa and Union Plaani.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win MyPa vs Union Plaani?
On our numbers MyPa have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union Plaani 36%.
How many goals will there be in MyPa vs Union Plaani?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MyPa vs Union Plaani?
Our predicted score is MyPa 1–1 Union Plaani, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is MyPa vs Union Plaani?
MyPa vs Union Plaani (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
