Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPEPO to win ✓57% · @1.70
Double chancePEPO or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.39
PEPO vs HPS: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 11 July the Kakkonen Lohko A brings PEPO against HPS at Kimpisen stadion. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, PEPO are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 18 matches; HPS are 5th (upper half) with 25. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
PEPO, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Atlantis, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
HPS, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Reipas, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours HPS, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for PEPO.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PEPO 2.1 xG, HPS 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PEPO 57%, draw 23%, HPS 21%.
Lower-risk option: PEPO or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was PEPO or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: PEPO 2–1 HPS. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PEPO57%fair 1.77 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
HPS21%fair 4.83 · @3.90
3.41Expected goals
2.14PEPO xG
1.26HPS xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: PEPO 2.1 – 1.3 HPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PEPO to win✓
57%
1.77
1.70
Double chance
PEPO or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.44
Draw no bet
PEPO (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
HPS +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
PEPO to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
PEPO ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PEPO / FT PEPO✓
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
PEPO – last 6
LDLWDD
4 Jul
@ Atlantis
1–5
L
27 Jun
vs PPJ
2–2
D
13 Jun
@ HIFK Helsinki
1–2
L
4 Jun
vs Reipas
2–1
W
29 May
@ MyPa
0–0
D
23 May
vs Union Plaani
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HPS – last 6
WWLWDW
4 Jul
vs Reipas
3–2
W
27 Jun
@ PuiU Helsinki
2–0
W
12 Jun
vs Kiffen
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Union Plaani
2–0
W
31 May
vs PPJ
2–2
D
22 May
@ HIFK Helsinki
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PEPO and HPS.
Our pick is PEPO or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PEPO vs HPS?
On our numbers PEPO have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HPS 21%.
How many goals will there be in PEPO vs HPS?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PEPO vs HPS?
Our predicted score is PEPO 2–1 HPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is PEPO vs HPS?
PEPO vs HPS (Kakkonen Lohko A) kicks off on Saturday 11 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kimpisen stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
