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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ecuador v Guatemala: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Ohio Stadium

Guatemala

Ecuador 61%Draw 21%Guatemala 18% Expected goals 1.75 – 1.13

78%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 54% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEcuador to win ✓61% · @1.19

Double chanceEcuador or draw ✓82% · @1.03

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

Ecuador vs Guatemala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ecuador welcome Guatemala to Ohio Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Sunday 7 June (21:00 WAT).

Current form

Ecuador, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Saudi Arabia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ecuador 1.8 xG, Guatemala 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ecuador 61%, draw 21%, Guatemala 18%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ecuador 1–1 Guatemala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ecuador61%fair 1.64 · @1.19

Draw21%fair 4.68 · @6.20

Guatemala18%fair 5.67 · @15.00

2.88Expected goals

1.75Ecuador xG

1.13Guatemala xG

54%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–010%

2–110%

2–09%

0–16%

1–26%

From our goals model: Ecuador 1.8 – 1.1 Guatemala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Ecuador	Guatemala
Attack vs Friendlies average	-5%	-11%
Goals conceded vs average	+3%	+28%
Our expected goals here	1.32	1.28

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ecuador to win ✓	61%	1.64	1.19
Double chance	Ecuador or draw ✓	82%	1.21	1.03
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	2.40 ▲
Draw no bet	Ecuador (draw no bet) ✓	78%	1.29	–
Asian handicap	Guatemala +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	63%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.22	1.18
First team to score	Ecuador to score first ✓	57%	1.74	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.50	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador ✓	32%	3.13	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.29	–

Recent results

Ecuador – last 3

WDD

31 May	vs Saudi Arabia	2–1	W
31 Mar	@ Netherlands	1–1	D
27 Mar	@ Morocco	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Guatemala – last 2

5 Jun	@ Czech Republic	1–3	L
27 Mar	@ Algeria	0–7	L

0.5Scored / game

5.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Guatemala.

Ecuador vs Guatemala head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Curaçao4

Aruba0 167%1.09X17%8.00216%21.00 2.5–1.6xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 73%@1.36 ✓

Argentina2

Honduras0 178%1.11X14%7.7527%25.00 2.8–0.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✗

Afghanistan0

Pakistan2 139%2.38X23%3.00238%2.85 0.8–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓

Liechtenstein0

Cyprus2 117%10.00X22%4.60260%1.28 0.9–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓

Kenya4

Lesotho0 165%1.70X22%3.20214%5.10 1.6–0.5xG 1Kenya to win 65%@1.70 ✓

–

Oman

Mozambique 126%2.35X53%3.00220%2.95 1.3–1.2xG 1XOman or draw 80%@1.30

Maldives1

Bangladesh U231 129%2.10X51%3.25220%3.00 0.9–0.8xG 1XMaldives or draw 80%@1.30 ✓

–

Denmark2

Ukraine1 158%1.65X24%3.70218%5.10 1.5–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ecuador vs Guatemala?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ecuador vs Guatemala?

On our numbers Ecuador have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guatemala 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Guatemala?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Guatemala?

Our predicted score is Ecuador 1–1 Guatemala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ecuador vs Guatemala?

Ecuador vs Guatemala (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Ohio Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.