Value bet: Southampton U21 to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSouthampton U21 to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aston Villa U21 travel to face Southampton U21 on Friday 24 April in the Premier League 2 Division One, with Staplewood Training Ground the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Southampton U21 are 1st, leading the league, on 16 points after 6 matches; Aston Villa U21 are 20th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Southampton U21, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leeds United U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aston Villa U21, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Stoke City U21, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southampton U21 2.6 xG, Aston Villa U21 1.3 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southampton U21 61%, draw 18%, Aston Villa U21 21%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Southampton U21 to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southampton U21 2–1 Aston Villa U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southampton U2161%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.00
Aston Villa U2121%fair 4.87 · @3.35
3.90Expected goals
2.58Southampton U21 xG
1.32Aston Villa U21 xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Southampton U21 2.6 – 1.3 Aston Villa U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton U21 to win✗
61%
1.63
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.36
Draw no bet
Southampton U21 (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Southampton U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
First team to score
Southampton U21 to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Southampton U21 ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton U21 / FT Southampton U21✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Southampton U21 – last 6
WLWDWD
20 Mar
vs Leeds United U21
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Manchester United U21
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Nottingham Forest U21
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Everton U21
2–2
D
20 Feb
vs Middlesbrough U21
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Norwich City U21
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Aston Villa U21 – last 6
WLWDWW
17 Apr
@ Stoke City U21
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Middlesbrough U21
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Blackburn Rovers U21
2–1
W
3 Apr
@ Brighton U21
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Leicester City U21
3–2
W
13 Mar
vs Norwich City U21
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southampton U21 and Aston Villa U21.
What is the prediction for Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
On our numbers Southampton U21 have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aston Villa U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Our predicted score is Southampton U21 2–1 Aston Villa U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21?
Southampton U21 vs Aston Villa U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Staplewood Training Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
