Chayka vs Chernomorets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chernomorets travel to face Chayka on Friday 8 May in the First League, with Chayka Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Chayka, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Volga Ulyanovsk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Chernomorets, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to FK Neftekhimik, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chayka 1.3 xG, Chernomorets 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chayka 35%, draw 25%, Chernomorets 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chayka 1–1 Chernomorets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chayka35%fair 2.86 · @2.97
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.35
Chernomorets40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
2.71Expected goals
1.34Chayka xG
1.38Chernomorets xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chayka 1.3 – 1.4 Chernomorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chayka
Chernomorets
Attack vs First League average
-11%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+26%
+10%
Our expected goals here
1.46
1.40
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chernomorets to win✓
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.85
Draw no bet
Chernomorets (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Chayka +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.03
First team to score
Chernomorets to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chernomorets / FT Chernomorets✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Chayka – last 6
LLWLWL
22 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Ural
0–5
L
29 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
2–5
L
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chernomorets – last 5
LDLWL
22 Apr
@ FK Neftekhimik
0–4
L
3 Apr
@ Chelyabinsk
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–4
L
7 Mar
vs Ska-khabarovsk
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chayka and Chernomorets.
What is the prediction for Chayka vs Chernomorets?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chayka vs Chernomorets?
On our numbers Chayka have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chernomorets 40%.
How many goals will there be in Chayka vs Chernomorets?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chayka vs Chernomorets?
Our predicted score is Chayka 1–1 Chernomorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Chayka vs Chernomorets?
Chayka vs Chernomorets (First League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Chayka Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fakel0
Ska-khabarovsk0
Rodina Moskva2
Chelyabinsk0