Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.31 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFakel to win ✗60% · @1.35
Double chanceFakel or draw ✓82% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.31
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Friday 8 May: Fakel v Ska-khabarovsk in the First League, played at Fakel Stadium.
Current form
Fakel, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Torpedo Moskva, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ska-khabarovsk, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fakel, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Ska-khabarovsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fakel 1.7 xG, Ska-khabarovsk 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fakel 60%, draw 22%, Ska-khabarovsk 18%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.31.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.31 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fakel 1–1 Ska-khabarovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fakel60%fair 1.66 · @1.35
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.45
Ska-khabarovsk18%fair 5.64 · @8.80
2.56Expected goals
1.66Fakel xG
0.91Ska-khabarovsk xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Fakel 1.7 – 0.9 Ska-khabarovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Fakel
Ska-khabarovsk
Attack vs First League average
-1%
+6%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
+14%
Our expected goals here
1.67
1.16
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fakel to win✗
60%
1.66
1.35
Double chance
Fakel or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.31 ▲
Draw no bet
Fakel (draw no bet)
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Ska-khabarovsk +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.04
First team to score
Fakel to score first✗
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fakel / FT Fakel✗
34%
2.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Fakel – last 6
DDLWWL
27 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
20 Mar
@ Rotor Volgograd
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ska-khabarovsk – last 6
LLDLLD
22 Apr
@ Spartak Kostroma
0–3
L
18 Apr
vs Rotor Volgograd
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
1–3
L
14 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fakel and Ska-khabarovsk.
What is the prediction for Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk?
On our numbers Fakel have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ska-khabarovsk 18%.
How many goals will there be in Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Our predicted score is Fakel 1–1 Ska-khabarovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk?
Fakel vs Ska-khabarovsk (First League) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fakel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka0
Chernomorets2
Rodina Moskva2