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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Russia v Burkina Faso: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Volgograd Arena

Russia

LDW
3–0
FT

Burkina Faso

D
Russia 75%Draw 16%Burkina Faso 9% Expected goals 2.48 – 0.72
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.21Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.08 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRussia to win ✓75% · @1.34
Double chanceRussia or draw ✓91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.08
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.07

Russia vs Burkina Faso: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 5 June the Friendlies brings Russia against Burkina Faso at Volgograd Arena. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Russia, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Egypt, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Russia 2.5 xG, Burkina Faso 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Russia 75%, draw 16%, Burkina Faso 9%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.08.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.08 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Russia 2–0 Burkina Faso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Russia75%fair 1.34 · @1.34
Draw16%fair 6.06 · @4.55
Burkina Faso9%fair 11.52 · @9.40
3.20Expected goals
2.48Russia xG
0.72Burkina Faso xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%

From our goals model: Russia 2.5 – 0.7 Burkina Faso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

RussiaBurkina Faso
Attack vs Friendlies average+33%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-18%+40%
Our expected goals here3.200.90

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRussia to win ✓75%1.341.34
Double chanceRussia or draw ✓91%1.101.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.08 ▲
Draw no betRussia (draw no bet) ✓90%1.12–
Asian handicapRussia -1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.21
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.76
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.581.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.11
First team to scoreRussia to score first ✓74%1.35–
Half-time resultRussia ahead at half-time ✓56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Russia / FT Russia ✓52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.07–

Recent results

Russia – last 3

LDW
28 May@ Egypt0–1L
31 Marvs Mali0–0D
27 Marvs Nicaragua3–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Burkina Faso – last 1

D
31 Marvs Guinea-Bissau1–1D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Russia and Burkina Faso.

Russia vs Burkina Faso head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Czech Republic3 Guatemala1 161%1.18X18%6.60221%14.50 1.8–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.53 ✓
FT Mexico5 Serbia1 166%1.23X21%5.70213%13.00 1.8–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.22 ✓
FT Singapore1 China2 131%6.00X23%3.80246%1.51 1.6–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.28 ✓
FT Hong Kong2 Mongolia0 178%1.05X18%9.5025%23.00 3.1–0.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✗
FT Thailand2 Kuwait2 163%1.70X22%3.45215%4.50 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Indonesia3 Oman0 136%2.15X23%3.20242%3.10 1.1–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Tajikistan3 India1 163%1.60X22%3.55215%5.10 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✗
FT Slovakia2 Montenegro2 155%1.61X25%3.55220%5.25 1.7–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Russia vs Burkina Faso?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Russia vs Burkina Faso?

On our numbers Russia have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Burkina Faso 9%.

How many goals will there be in Russia vs Burkina Faso?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Russia vs Burkina Faso?

Our predicted score is Russia 2–0 Burkina Faso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Russia vs Burkina Faso?

Russia vs Burkina Faso (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.