Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIndepend. Rivadavia to win ✗45% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 10 May the Liga Profesional Argentina brings Independ. Rivadavia against Union Santa Fe at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Independ. Rivadavia are 4th, among the top four, on 57 points after 32 matches; Union Santa Fe are 16th (lower half) with 42. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Independ. Rivadavia, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fluminense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Union Santa Fe, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Velez Sarsfield, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Independ. Rivadavia, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Union Santa Fe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independ. Rivadavia 1.6 xG, Union Santa Fe 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independ. Rivadavia 45%, draw 26%, Union Santa Fe 29%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Union Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independ. Rivadavia45%fair 2.22 · @2.24
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.05
Union Santa Fe29%fair 3.45 · @3.45
2.80Expected goals
1.59Independ. Rivadavia xG
1.21Union Santa Fe xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Independ. Rivadavia 1.6 – 1.2 Union Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independ. Rivadavia to win✗
45%
2.22
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Independ. Rivadavia (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
Union Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.90
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.06
First team to score
Independ. Rivadavia to score first✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independ. Rivadavia / FT Independ. Rivadavia✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Independ. Rivadavia – last 6
DWDWWW
7 May
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
30 Apr
vs Deportivo La Guaira
4–1
W
20 Apr
@ Banfield
0–0
D
16 Apr
@ Fluminense
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
2 Apr
@ Tigre
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Union Santa Fe – last 6
DLWDDW
27 Apr
@ Velez Sarsfield
2–2
D
18 Apr
vs Newells Old Boys
2–3
L
31 Mar
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
16 Mar
vs Boca Juniors
1–1
D
10 Mar
@ Independiente
4–4
D
1 Mar
@ Instituto Cordoba
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independ. Rivadavia and Union Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
On our numbers Independ. Rivadavia have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Union Santa Fe 29%.
How many goals will there be in Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Independ. Rivadavia 1–1 Union Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe?
Independ. Rivadavia vs Union Santa Fe (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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