River Plate 59%Draw 28%San Lorenzo 14%Expected goals 1.45 – 0.59
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗59% · @1.61
Double chanceRiver Plate or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.29
River Plate vs San Lorenzo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
River Plate welcome San Lorenzo to Estadio Monumental for a Liga Profesional Argentina fixture on Sunday 10 May (23:00 WAT). In the table, River Plate are 7th, upper half, on 55 points after 32 matches; San Lorenzo are 18th (lower half) with 41. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
River Plate, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Carabobo FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
San Lorenzo, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo Cuenca, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours River Plate, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for San Lorenzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give River Plate 1.4 xG, San Lorenzo 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – River Plate 59%, draw 28%, San Lorenzo 14%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: River Plate 1–0 San Lorenzo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
River Plate59%fair 1.70 · @1.61
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.50
San Lorenzo14%fair 7.35 · @6.20
2.04Expected goals
1.45River Plate xG
0.59San Lorenzo xG
49%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: River Plate 1.4 – 0.6 San Lorenzo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✗
59%
1.70
1.61
Double chance
River Plate or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.55
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
San Lorenzo +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
River Plate to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✗
35%
2.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.29
–
Recent results
River Plate – last 6
WWWWWD
8 May
@ Carabobo FC
2–1
W
1 May
@ RB Bragantino
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Aldosivi
3–1
W
16 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Racing Club
2–0
W
9 Apr
@ Blooming
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
San Lorenzo – last 6
DDWDWD
6 May
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–0
D
28 Apr
vs Santos
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Platense
1–0
W
20 Apr
vs Velez Sarsfield
0–0
D
17 Apr
vs Deportivo Cuenca
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between River Plate and San Lorenzo.
What is the prediction for River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
On our numbers River Plate have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 28% and San Lorenzo 14%.
How many goals will there be in River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
Our predicted score is River Plate 1–0 San Lorenzo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is River Plate vs San Lorenzo?
River Plate vs San Lorenzo (Liga Profesional Argentina) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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