Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultÁguilas Doradas to win ✓56% · @1.82
Double chanceÁguilas Doradas or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.19
Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:30 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Águilas Doradas v Deportivo Pereira in the Copa Colombia, played at Estadio Cincuentenario. In the table, Águilas Doradas are 3rd on 6 points after 4 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 1st with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Águilas Doradas, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Ind. Yumbo, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportivo Pereira, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Soacha, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Águilas Doradas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Deportivo Pereira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Águilas Doradas 1.5 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas Doradas 56%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 18%.
Lower-risk option: Águilas Doradas or draw (82%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Águilas Doradas56%fair 1.77 · @1.82
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.20
Deportivo Pereira18%fair 5.43 · @4.35
2.27Expected goals
1.51Águilas Doradas xG
0.76Deportivo Pereira xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.5 – 0.8 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Águilas Doradas
Deportivo Pereira
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
+16%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+0%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.63
0.87
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas Doradas to win✓
56%
1.77
1.82
Double chance
Águilas Doradas or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Águilas Doradas (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Pereira +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Águilas Doradas to score first✓
60%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas Doradas / FT Águilas Doradas✓
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Águilas Doradas – last 6
WLWLWD
18 May
@ Ind. Yumbo
4–1
W
19 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
0–2
L
7 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
1–4
L
27 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
WDLLDL
17 May
vs Real Soacha
1–0
W
8 May
@ Ind. Yumbo
1–1
D
3 May
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
0–2
L
10 Apr
vs Once Caldas
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Alianza Valledupar
2–3
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Pereira 18%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira?
Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.