Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Cali to win ✓47% · @1.88
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:40 WAT, Thursday 21 May: Deportivo Cali v Alianza Valledupar in the Copa Colombia, played at Estadio Deportivo Cali. In the table, Deportivo Cali are 1st on 12 points after 4 matches; Alianza Valledupar are 2nd with 7.
Current form
Deportivo Cali, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bucaramanga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Popayan, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Deportivo Cali, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Alianza Valledupar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cali 1.5 xG, Alianza Valledupar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cali 47%, draw 28%, Alianza Valledupar 24%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cali or draw (76%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Cali or draw (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cali 1–1 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Cali47%fair 2.11 · @1.88
Draw28%fair 3.53 · @3.15
Alianza Valledupar24%fair 4.12 · @4.20
2.66Expected goals
1.48Deportivo Cali xG
1.17Alianza Valledupar xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Deportivo Cali 1.5 – 1.2 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Valledupar
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
-8%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.22
1.20
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Cali to win✓
47%
2.11
1.88
Double chance
Deportivo Cali or draw✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Cali (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Alianza Valledupar +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Deportivo Cali to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Cali / FT Deportivo Cali✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Deportivo Cali – last 6
WWLWWD
12 May
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
26 Apr
vs America de Cali
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Chico
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Junior
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–0
W
19 Mar
vs Santa Fe
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
DDLWDL
8 May
@ Popayan
1–1
D
27 Apr
@ Llaneros
0–0
D
13 Apr
@ Internacional de Bogota
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Deportivo Pasto
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Deportivo Cali or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Deportivo Cali have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Alianza Valledupar 24%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Cali 1–1 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar?
Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:40 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Deportivo Cali.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águilas Doradas2
Deportivo Pereira1