Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.60 – our chance 51% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBucaramanga to win ✗70% · @1.24
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✗90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Bucaramanga vs Popayan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 21 May the Copa Colombia brings Bucaramanga against Popayan. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Bucaramanga are 4th on 3 points after 4 matches; Popayan are 3rd with 7.
Current form
Bucaramanga, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Cali, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Popayan, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Real Santander, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bucaramanga 2.2 xG, Popayan 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bucaramanga 70%, draw 20%, Popayan 10%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.60.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bucaramanga 2–0 Popayan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bucaramanga70%fair 1.43 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @4.75
Popayan10%fair 9.84 · @14.00
3.06Expected goals
2.21Bucaramanga xG
0.85Popayan xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bucaramanga 2.2 – 0.9 Popayan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bucaramanga
Popayan
Attack vs Copa Colombia average
+9%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-5%
Our expected goals here
2.06
0.93
Our own ratings from every Copa Colombia result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✗
70%
1.43
1.24
Double chance
Bucaramanga or draw✗
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.60 ▲
Draw no bet
Bucaramanga (draw no bet)✗
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Bucaramanga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Bucaramanga to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Bucaramanga ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✗
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Bucaramanga – last 6
LWLWLL
12 May
@ Deportivo Cali
0–2
L
8 May
vs Real Santander
5–0
W
21 Apr
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
13 Apr
vs Chico
5–0
W
7 Apr
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ America de Cali
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Popayan – last 6
WDLDDD
12 May
@ Real Santander
3–0
W
8 May
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
18 Apr
@ Internacional Palmira
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Ind. Yumbo
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Popayan.
What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Popayan 10%.
How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 2–0 Popayan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bucaramanga vs Popayan?
Bucaramanga vs Popayan (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 21 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Águilas Doradas2
Deportivo Pereira1