Azerbaijan vs Malta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Malta travel to face Azerbaijan on Friday 5 June in the Friendlies, with Haladás Sportkomplexum the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Malta, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Slovakia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Azerbaijan 1.5 xG, Malta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Azerbaijan 52%, draw 26%, Malta 22%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Azerbaijan 1–0 Malta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Azerbaijan52%fair 1.93 · @1.68
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.40
Malta22%fair 4.56 · @4.90
2.47Expected goals
1.48Azerbaijan xG
0.99Malta xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Azerbaijan 1.5 – 1.0 Malta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Azerbaijan
Malta
Attack vs Friendlies average
-13%
+4%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-15%
Our expected goals here
1.17
0.94
Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Azerbaijan to win✗
52%
1.93
1.68
Double chance
Azerbaijan or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
Azerbaijan (draw no bet)✗
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Malta +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Azerbaijan to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Azerbaijan – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs St. Lucia
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Malta – last 3
LLL
1 Jun
@ Slovakia
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Luxembourg
0–3
L
26 Mar
vs Luxembourg
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and Malta.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Azerbaijan vs Malta?
On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Malta 22%.
How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs Malta?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs Malta?
Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 1–0 Malta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Azerbaijan vs Malta?
Azerbaijan vs Malta (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Haladás Sportkomplexum.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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