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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Azerbaijan v San Marino: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

San Marino

Azerbaijan 44%Draw 16%San Marino 40% Expected goals 1.68 – 1.02

66%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.53Odds

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 55% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAzerbaijan to win ✓44% · @14.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · fair 1.19

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.40

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.33

Azerbaijan vs San Marino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Azerbaijan welcome San Marino for a Friendlies fixture on Tuesday 9 June (19:00 WAT).

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Azerbaijan 1.7 xG, San Marino 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Azerbaijan 44%, draw 16%, San Marino 40%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.40.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Azerbaijan 1–1 San Marino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Azerbaijan44%fair 2.29 · @14.00

Draw16%fair 6.15 · @6.40

San Marino40%fair 2.50 · @1.14

2.70Expected goals

1.68Azerbaijan xG

1.02San Marino xG

55%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–011%

2–110%

2–010%

0–17%

0–07%

From our goals model: Azerbaijan 1.7 – 1.0 San Marino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Azerbaijan	San Marino
Attack vs Friendlies average	-13%	-10%
Goals conceded vs average	-8%	+4%
Our expected goals here	2.29	0.62

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Azerbaijan to win ✓	44%	2.29	14.00 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	84%	1.19	–
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	2.40 ▲
Draw no bet	Azerbaijan (draw no bet) ✓	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	San Marino +1 (Asian handicap)	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.80	1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	–
First team to score	Azerbaijan to score first	58%	1.72	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.41	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan ✗	32%	3.09	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	10%	10.33	–

Recent results

Azerbaijan – last 2

5 Jun	vs Malta	0–2	L
27 Mar	vs St. Lucia	6–1	W

3.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

San Marino – last 2

5 Jun	vs Bangladesh	1–2	L
31 Mar	vs Andorra	0–0	D

0.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and San Marino.

Azerbaijan vs San Marino head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

–

Vanuatu

Fiji 160%1.60X22%4.20218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG 1Vanuatu to win 60%@1.60

Philippines5

Myanmar1 158%1.50X23%3.95219%5.75 2.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.25 ✓

China0

Thailand0 138%1.95X23%3.30239%3.45 1.2–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✗

Cambodia2

Hong Kong0 129%3.20X26%3.30245%2.05 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

–

Oman

Kuwait 156%1.85X22%3.42222%4.05 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.37

Indonesia1

Mozambique0 163%1.45X18%4.40219%5.25 2.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗

–

Bahrain

Syria 146%2.35X23%3.10231%2.88 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40

Kyrgyzstan0

Palestine0 139%2.75X26%2.95235%2.50 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs San Marino?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Azerbaijan vs San Marino?

On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 16% and San Marino 40%.

How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs San Marino?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs San Marino?

Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 1–1 San Marino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Azerbaijan vs San Marino?

Azerbaijan vs San Marino (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.