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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Indonesia v Mozambique: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Gelora Bung Karno Stadium
1–0
FT
Indonesia 63%Draw 18%Mozambique 19% Expected goals 2.26 – 1.17
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultIndonesia to win ✓63% · @1.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34

Indonesia vs Mozambique: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Indonesia welcome Mozambique to Gelora Bung Karno Stadium for a Friendlies fixture on Tuesday 9 June (14:00 WAT).

Current form

Indonesia, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Oman, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Indonesia 2.3 xG, Mozambique 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Indonesia 63%, draw 18%, Mozambique 19%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Indonesia 2–1 Mozambique. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Indonesia63%fair 1.60 · @1.45
Draw18%fair 5.54 · @4.40
Mozambique19%fair 5.18 · @5.25
3.43Expected goals
2.26Indonesia xG
1.17Mozambique xG
61%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%

From our goals model: Indonesia 2.3 – 1.2 Mozambique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIndonesia to win ✓63%1.601.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.80 ▲
Draw no betIndonesia (draw no bet) ✓76%1.31–
Asian handicapIndonesia -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
First team to scoreIndonesia to score first ✓64%1.57–
Half-time resultIndonesia ahead at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Indonesia / FT Indonesia ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.34–

Recent results

Indonesia – last 3

WLW
5 Junvs Oman3–0W
30 Marvs Bulgaria0–1L
27 Marvs St. Kitts and Nevis4–0W
2.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mozambique

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Indonesia and Mozambique.

Indonesia vs Mozambique head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Indonesia vs Mozambique?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Indonesia vs Mozambique?

On our numbers Indonesia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Mozambique 19%.

How many goals will there be in Indonesia vs Mozambique?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Mozambique?

Our predicted score is Indonesia 2–1 Mozambique, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Indonesia vs Mozambique?

Indonesia vs Mozambique (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Karno Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.