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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

China v Thailand: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Hangzhou Dragon Stadium

Thailand

China 38%Draw 23%Thailand 39% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.76

75%

Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating

1.30Odds

Value bet: Thailand to win @ 3.45 – our chance 39% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultThailand to win ✗39% · @3.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.37

China vs Thailand: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 9 June the Friendlies brings China against Thailand at Hangzhou Dragon Stadium. Kick-off: 12:35 WAT.

Current form

China, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Singapore, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give China 1.2 xG, Thailand 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – China 38%, draw 23%, Thailand 39%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Thailand to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: China 1–1 Thailand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

China38%fair 2.61 · @1.95

Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.30

Thailand39%fair 2.58 · @3.45

2.95Expected goals

1.19China xG

1.76Thailand xG

57%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–210%

0–19%

0–28%

2–17%

1–06%

From our goals model: China 1.2 – 1.8 Thailand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	China	Thailand
Attack vs Friendlies average	-33%	-7%
Goals conceded vs average	+24%	-2%
Our expected goals here	0.70	1.98

Our own ratings from every Friendlies result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Thailand to win ✗	39%	2.58	3.45 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	77%	1.30	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	1.75
Draw no bet	Thailand (draw no bet)	50%	1.99	–
Asian handicap	China +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	75%	1.33	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	–
First team to score	Thailand to score first ✗	56%	1.77	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	40%	2.53	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Thailand / FT Thailand ✗	31%	3.22	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.37	–

Recent results

China – last 3

WLW

5 Jun	@ Singapore	2–1	W
31 Mar	vs Cameroon	0–2	L
27 Mar	vs Curaçao	2–0	W

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Thailand – last 2

5 Jun	vs Kuwait	2–2	D
31 Mar	vs Turkmenistan	2–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

100%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between China and Thailand.

China vs Thailand head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub

–

Vanuatu

Fiji 160%1.60X22%4.20218%4.75 2.0–1.0xG 1Vanuatu to win 60%@1.60

Philippines5

Myanmar1 158%1.50X23%3.95219%5.75 2.5–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.25 ✓

Cambodia2

Hong Kong0 129%3.20X26%3.30245%2.05 1.2–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓

–

Oman

Kuwait 156%1.85X22%3.42222%4.05 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.37

Indonesia1

Mozambique0 163%1.45X18%4.40219%5.25 2.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✗

–

Bahrain

Syria 146%2.35X23%3.10231%2.88 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.40

Kyrgyzstan0

Palestine0 139%2.75X26%2.95235%2.50 1.3–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44 ✗

Ethiopia1

Malawi1 145%2.45X23%3.10231%2.75 0.9–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 69%@1.55 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for China vs Thailand?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win China vs Thailand?

On our numbers China have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thailand 39%.

How many goals will there be in China vs Thailand?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for China vs Thailand?

Our predicted score is China 1–1 Thailand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is China vs Thailand?

China vs Thailand (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Hangzhou Dragon Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.