Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ascoli v Potenza: numbers & prediction

Serie C Promotion Play Offs · Italy · Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Ascoli

DLWWW
1–0
FT

Potenza

DWLLL
Ascoli 57%Draw 25%Potenza 18% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.94
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultAscoli to win ✓57% · @1.50
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓82% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44

Ascoli vs Potenza: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Potenza travel to face Ascoli on Wednesday 20 May in the Serie C Promotion Play Offs, with Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.

Current form

Ascoli, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Potenza, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Potenza, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ascoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ascoli, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Potenza.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Potenza 0–0 Ascoli.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.6 xG, Potenza 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 57%, draw 25%, Potenza 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Potenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ascoli57%fair 1.75 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.65
Potenza18%fair 5.45 · @6.40
2.58Expected goals
1.64Ascoli xG
0.94Potenza xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Ascoli 1.6 – 0.9 Potenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAscoli to win ✓57%1.751.50
Double chanceAscoli or draw ✓82%1.221.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.85
Draw no betAscoli (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapPotenza +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.371.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓51%1.971.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreAscoli to score first ✓59%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ascoli / FT Ascoli ✗33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.44–

Recent results

Ascoli – last 6

DLWWWW
17 May@ Potenza0–0D
26 Apr@ Campobasso FC0–1L
30 Mar@ Arezzo2–1W
15 Mar@ Gubbio3–1W
9 Marvs Ravenna2–0W
4 Mar@ Sambenedettese1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Potenza – last 6

DWLLLW
17 Mayvs Ascoli0–0D
13 Mayvs Campobasso FC3–1W
6 Apr@ Casarano1–2L
1 Apr@ Latina0–1L
22 Mar@ Trapani 19051–2L
18 Marvs Latina3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Potenza v Ascoli0–0
Ascoli vs Potenza head-to-head page →

More Serie C Promotion Play Offs predictions

FT Union Brescia0 Casarano0 159%1.83X24%3.20217%4.20 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.35 ✗
FT Catania3 Lecco3 153%1.65X25%3.20221%5.40 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✗
FT Ravenna0 Salernitana2 144%2.30X25%3.10230%2.88 1.6–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ascoli vs Potenza?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ascoli vs Potenza?

On our numbers Ascoli have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Potenza 18%.

How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Potenza?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Potenza?

Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Potenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Ascoli vs Potenza?

Ascoli vs Potenza (Serie C Promotion Play Offs) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.